In 2010, the entire gear industry achieved a total industrial output value of 94.635 billion yuan, and the market demand for gears exceeded 140 billion yuan, ranking second in the world. Judging from various factors such as scale and sales, the gear industry has become a “leading†industry in the field of basic components for China's general machinery parts. China has become a veritable world leader in gear manufacturing.
In the past decade, automotive and industrial gears have continued to grow steadily. Among them, automotive gear occupies a very large proportion in sales, reaching 62%, while industrial gears also reach 16%, and the share of two types of products exceeds two-thirds.
From the perspective of imports and exports, the overall situation of China's gear industry is in and out, but it is not optimistic that imports are much more than exports. In 2009, China imported a total of 7.26 billion U.S. dollars worth of gear products, and exported 1.715 billion U.S. dollars, with a deficit of 5.545 billion U.S. dollars. In 2010, China imported a total of 10.61 billion U.S. dollars worth of gear products, an increase of 46%, and exports of 2.72 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 58%. Although the growth of exports is slightly greater than the growth of imports, the deficit is still as high as nearly 8 billion U.S. dollars due to the large number of import bases. It can be judged that there is a serious deficit in the gear industry in China, and there is still much room for improvement in export capacity. According to the latest news from the Gear Association, from January to June this year, the export of gear products has reached US$1.7 billion, an increase of 40.9%.
Although the import and export situation is not optimistic, the great achievements of the gear industry can not be ignored. Ming Tsui New pointed out that the three major changes in the gear industry behind the achievements have brought unlimited hope for the development of the industry.
For the entire gear industry, three major adjustments have been realized: namely, adjustment of the layout, that is, from low-end to high-end development, rational allocation of low-end and high-end, and rational distribution; and structural adjustment, that is, the establishment of a rational and modern industrial structure. The development adjustment, that is to begin to abandon the extensive development methods that used to be large in quantity and low in price to gradually increase the quality, life, and appearance of the product, increase its technical content, increase product added value, and achieve high efficiency and intensive development.
For gear manufacturing companies, they generally change their development strategy from being bigger to stronger, from the domestic market to the international market, and from price competition to technological competition;
From the product point of view, China's gear products have begun to shift from the pursuit of low quality and high quality to high-quality, high-tech and high value-added products.
China's gear industry will emerge four major developments China's gear industry will become a global gear manufacturing country in the next 10 years. Luo Baihui, head of the International Mould, Hardware and Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, stated that from 2006 to 2010, China's gear manufacturing enterprises will shift from intensive management to information-based lean manufacturing, and the annual production value will reach 100 billion yuan***, becoming a global gear export. The third or even the second largest country, it is expected that from 2011 to 2015, as the gear product market matures, China will become a global gear power.
The development goal of China's gear industry is defined as "promoting China to become a manufacturing power and a major exporter of gears." Luo Baihui believes that in the development process, there will be four major situations in the Chinese gear industry:
The market will have a large number of new gear products with international standards and independent intellectual property rights;
The market will create a number of world-renowned brands of gear manufacturing companies, and many specialized SMEs will also enter the global procurement system and oem support;
The industry will organize a professional gear trading platform to hold exhibitions and business negotiations.
The industry will adopt international advanced standards, establish independent experimental testing capabilities, establish reliable gear industry laboratories, and establish basic technical data platforms for gears, universities, research institutes, and enterprise technology centers to promote the autonomy of gear products for all enterprises. Development.
With the perfect closing of the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan", the country's huge investment in infrastructure and high-speed economic growth have made China's equipment manufacturing industry achieve brilliant achievements. From the point of view of exports alone, in 2010, the total export value of China's equipment manufacturing industry reached a new high of 15 trillion yuan***, 34% higher than the total export value of the same period in 2009.
The machinery parts industry has contributed to the industry. In 2010, the total sales of China's machinery parts and components totaled RMB 250 billion. Gears are the most important part of the universal parts family. In 2010, the sales of gear products reached 146 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 60% of the total sales of the general parts and components industry.
Industrial policies have become the “Eleventh Five-Year†booster. The performance of the gear industry cannot be underestimated. However, under the support of government policies and the development of the entire equipment manufacturing industry, the development of the gear industry will become even more compelling in the next five years.
In July 2011, the Department of Equipment Industry of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the “Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for the Universal Parts Industryâ€, which made a clear plan for the gear industry:
In the next five years, the distribution of the gear market is: automobile gears account for about 40%, other vehicle gears account for about 25%, and industrial gears account for 35%; among them, exports account for about 15%.
Planning and forecasting, in 2010, sales of gear products were 146 billion yuan. It is estimated that by 2015, this figure will reach 294 billion yuan, more than doubled.
The export potential of gear products continues to increase. It is expected that during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, the growth rate of the export of gear products will be approximately 10%. It is expected that in 2015, exports will reach approximately US$5 billion.
At the same time, the plan further emphasizes. The "12th Five-Year Plan" is a crucial period for the development of high-end parts and components. It requires the industry to target the world's advanced level and strive to achieve high-end development.
Specifically, the development of "ultra-large, long-life gears and transmissions" includes three aspects:
The first is focused research and development of products and technologies, mainly focused on wind power, nuclear power, coal mining and other fields, characterized by high power, long life, anti-fatigue, systemic;
The second is the material of key demand, aiming to improve the anti-oxidation capability of gear steel and greatly increase the life of gears, forming a series of steel products featuring Chinese gear materials;
The third is the key breakthroughs in manufacturing equipment and processes, including the latest technologies and equipment for energy-saving and environmentally friendly dry cutting technologies and equipment, new product development testing technologies and equipment.
For the regional development of the gear industry, the plan has also made a detailed description. During the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, it supported the gears of Jiangsu automobile, agricultural machinery, and construction machinery. The development of Chongqing automobile, motorcycle, wind power, shipbuilding, and rail transit gear became 200 One hundred million yuan extra large gear manufacturing base; advance Liaoning Dalian, Zhejiang, Tianjin and other large-scale gear transmission device manufacturing base.
The development of the top ten industries supporting the rise of the gear industry policy and government planning is more of a relatively macro guide and assistance, while the development of other industries can be seen as a more direct approach to the entire gear industry. "Boosting agent."
According to Secretary General Ming Tsui of the Gear Division, combined with the “12th Five-Year Plan†of the General Parts and Research Data of the Association of Dental Workers, 10 rapidly growing industries will be the main markets for the Chinese gear industry in the next five years, namely: the automotive industry, wind energy, Industry, nuclear energy industry, high-power agricultural equipment industry, construction machinery industry, rail transit industry, coal mining machinery industry, large-scale metallurgical equipment, high-end numerical control equipment, large-scale petrochemical equipment, including:
The automotive industry -- the largest growth point in the gear industry. In the next five years, China's automobile industry will grow at a rate of 10% to 15% per year. The average annual growth rate of automobile brake transmissions will remain at 25%, and the annual demand at the end of 2015 will exceed 10 billion yuan.
During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, the average growth rate of China's auto transmission will be significantly faster than the average growth rate of the entire vehicle, with an average annual growth rate of approximately 20%. By the end of 2015, the market share of China's auto transmission will rise to around 50%.
In addition, the high-precision, low-noise, long-life, large and medium-sized spiral bevel gears have broad market prospects in the areas of medium and large luxury passenger cars and urban rail transit. The market demand during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period is approximately 1.5 billion yuan.
The wind energy industry --- "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" pointed out that the domestic market demand for MW-class wind turbines is very urgent. According to the national regulations, by 2020, China's wind power installed capacity will reach 30 million kilowatts. It is estimated that by 2020, China will have installed at least 1.9 million kilowatts per year, resulting in an output value of approximately 12 billion yuan for wind power gearboxes.
Nuclear Energy Industry — According to the national nuclear power medium and long term development plan, by 2020, China will start construction of more than 40 million kilowatts of nuclear power units with a total of more than 4000kW.
Among them, the number of circulating water pump gearboxes required for the three loops of nuclear power plants is about 400 sets, and the annual supporting amount is more than 150 million yuan.
Rail Transit --- By 2012, China will need to produce 300 high-speed EMUs each year, totaling 4,800 sets of gearboxes, with an output value of RMB 720 million per set.
Coal Mining Machinery - By 2020, China's coal demand will reach about 3.8 billion tons. During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, its own brand of high-power, high-reliability coal miner gear reducer, boring machine gear transmission Has a broad market prospects.
In addition to relying on the flourishing development of other industries, Ming Tsuixin further pointed out that China's gear industry will focus on technological innovation and actively carry out international cooperation.
High precision, high speed, high torque, small size, low noise, high performance, high reliability and long life will become important research topics in the next few years. The Association is currently planning to set the industry's strength to establish a technology research and development center and key technology innovations. Laboratories accumulate strength for future technological innovations.
Helping and guiding enterprises to strengthen international cooperation and exchanges and effectively achieving the “going out and inviting in†of the gear industry has also become a breakthrough in the “12th Five-Year Plan†of the gear branch.
At present, China's gear industry has basically completed the initial accumulation of capital and is in a critical period of reform, innovation, and upgrading. The Gear Lions Club plans to make full use of its rich government and overseas resources to build a platform for domestic enterprises to communicate with foreign advanced companies. Domestic gear companies "going out" will help bridge the gap.
The gear industry's "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" has achieved remarkable industrial policy as a booster
Due to the impact of objective factors such as the economic crisis, the growth rate of the gear industry has been relatively slow, but the total output value has still maintained a substantial increase. According to Luo Baihui, head of the International Die and Metals and Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, the Chinese gear transmission industry has experienced rapid development during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the industrial output value of the Chinese gear industry from 2005 to 2010 Year by year, and the year-on-year increase is above 20%.